Policy Briefs

Between 1.5°C and 2°C – the big impacts of half a degree December 2018. IIASA research shows substantial benefits of climate mitigation and achieving the 1.5°C target, as well as where action is most urgently required to reduce the vulnerability of the world’s poorest to unavoidable climate impacts.

Scientific Papers

Wang MTang T Burek P Havlik PKrisztin TKroeze CLeclere DStrokal M, et al. (2019). Increasing nitrogen export to sea: A scenario analysis for the Indus River. Science of the Total Environment 694: e133629. DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.133629.

Kahil T Albiac JFischer GStrokal MTramberend S Greve PTang T Burek P , et al. (2019). A nexus modeling framework for assessing water scarcity solutions. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 40: 72-80. DOI:10.1016/j.cosust.2019.09.009.

Wada Y Vinca A Parkinson SWillaarts BMagnuszewski PMochizuki J Mayor BWang Y, et al. (2019). Co-designing Indus Water-Energy-Land Futures. One Earth DOI:10.1016/j.oneear.2019.10.006.

Pastor APalazzo A Havlik PBiemans HWada Y Obersteiner M Kabat P, & Ludwig F (2019). The global nexus of food–trade–water sustaining environmental flows by 2050. Nature Sustainability DOI:10.1038/s41893-019-0287-1.

Johnson NBurek P Byers E Falchetta GFlörke MFujimori SHavlik PHejazi M, et al. (2019). Integrated Solutions for the Water-Energy-Land Nexus: Are Global Models Rising to the Challenge? Water 11 (11): no. 2223. DOI:10.3390/w11112223.

Vinca A , Parkinson SByers E , Burek P , Khan Z, Krey V , Diuana F, Wang Y, et al. (2019). The Nexus Solutions Tool (NEST): An open platform for optimizing multi-scale energy-water-land system transformations. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions: 1-33. DOI:10.5194/gmd-2019-134. (In Press)

Mayor Rodriguez B (2019). Growth patterns in mature desalination technologies and analogies with the energy field. Desalination 457: 75-84. DOI:10.1016/j.desal.2019.01.029.

Tang T Strokal Mvan Vliet MTHSeuntjens PBurek P Kroeze CLangan S , & Wada Y  (2019). Bridging global, basin and local-scale water quality modeling towards enhancing water quality management worldwide. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 36: 39-48. DOI:10.1016/j.cosust.2018.10.004.

Kim HRosa IMDAlkemade RLeadley PHurtt GPopp Avan Vuuren DAnthoni P, et al. (2018). A protocol for an intercomparison of biodiversity and ecosystem services models using harmonized land-use and climate scenarios. Geoscientific Model Development 11: 4537-4562. DOI:10.5194/gmd-11-4537-2018. (Submitted)

Parkinson SKrey V Huppmann D Kahil T McCollum DFricko O Byers E Gidden M, et al. (2018). Balancing clean water-climate change mitigation tradeoffs. Environmental Research Letters 14 (1): e014009. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aaf2a3.

Kahil T Parkinson SSatoh YGreve PBurek P Veldkamp TBurtscher RByers E , et al. (2018). A continental-scale hydro-economic model for integrating water-energy-land nexus solutions. Water Resources Research DOI:10.1029/2017WR022478.

Greve PKahil T Mochizuki J Schinko T Satoh YBurek P Fischer GTramberend S , et al. (2018). Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections. Nature Sustainability 1: 486-494. DOI:10.1038/s41893-018-0134-9.

Gidden MFujimori Svan den Berg MKlein DSmith SJvan Vuuren D, & Riahi K  (2018). A Methodology and Implementation of Automated Emissions Harmonization for Use in Integrated Assessment Models. Environmental Modelling & Software 105: 187-200. DOI:10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.04.002.

Byers E Gidden MLeclere DBurek P Ebi KLGreve PGrey DHavlik P, et al. (2018). Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots. Environmental Research Letters 13: e055012. DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/aabf45.


Vinca A , Parkinson SByers E , & Burek P  (2019)Achieving Climate-Land-Energy-Water Sustainable Development Goals in the Indus Basin. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2019, 7–12 April 2019, Vienna, Austria.

Tang T , Strokal M, Burek P , Leclere D, Kroeze C, Havlik PLangan S , & Wada Y  (2018). Increasing future human-induced nitrogen exports to rivers and sea in the Zambezi river basin. In: AGU Fall Meeting, 10-14 December 2018, Washington DC,USA.

Palazzo A , van Dijk MWillaarts BMagnuszewski PMayor Rodriguez BBurek P , Kahil T , Tang T , et al. (2018). Integrated solutions for water, energy, and land nexus management the Zambezi Basin: stakeholder engagement and modeling. In: 3rd Zambezi Basin Stakeholders’ forum: Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystems (WEFE) Nexus for Socio-Economic Benefits in the Zambezi River Basin, 8-9 October 2018, Lilongwe, Malawi.

Tang T , Strokal M, Wada Y , Burek P , Kroeze Cvan Vliet M, & Langan S  (2018). Sources and export of nutrients in the Zambezi River basin: status and future trend. In: International Conference Water Science for Impact, 16-18 October 2018, Wageningen, Netherlands.

Byers E , Parkinson SBalkovic J , Burek P , Ebi K, Gidden M, Grey D, Greve P, et al. (2018). Global climate and development hotspots assessment: Asia under pressure. In: 5th Asian Energy Modelling Workshop, 10-12 September 2018, Singapore.

van Dijk M, You L, Mosnier AHavlik P, & Palazzo A  (2018). Generating high-resolution national crop distribution maps: Combining statistics, gridded data and surveys using an optimization approach. In: 30th International Conference of Agricultural Economists (ICAE), August 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.

Burek P (2018). Global Hydrological Model Community Water Model (CWATM). In: Indus Basin Knowledge Forum (IBKF), 31 May-2 June 2018, Laxenburg, Austria.

Langan S (2018)Integrated Solutions for Water, Energy, and Land (ISWEL). In: Indus Basin Knowledge Forum (IBKF), 31 May-2 June 2018, Laxenburg, Austria.

Willaarts Barbara (2018). Envisioning desirable pathways for the Indus Basin. In: Indus Basin Knowledge Forum (IBKF), 31 May-2 June 2018, Laxenburg, Austria.

Byers E , Gidden MLeclere DBalkovic J , Burek P , Ebi K, Grey D, Greve P, et al. (2018). Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots. In: International Energy Workshop, 19-21 June 2018, Gothenburg, Sweden.

Burek P , Kahil T , Parkinson SSatoh Y, & Wada Y  (2018). Integrated modeling for assessing water-energy-land nexus – Application of a hydrological and hydro-economic modeling framework for the Zambezi basin. In: Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2018, 20-24 May, 2018, Chiba, Japan.

Burek P , Satoh YGreve PKahil T , Byers E , Langan S , & Wada Y  (2018). Improving Water Resources Management on Global and Region Scales – Evaluating Strategies for Water Futures with the IIASA’s Community Water Model. In: American Geo-Sciences Union Fall Meeting, 11-15 December, New Orleans, USA.

Parkinson S, Kahil M, Wada Y , Krey V , Byers E , Johnson NBurek P , Satoh Y, et al. (2017). Hydro-economic modeling of integrated solutions for the water-energy-land nexus in Africa. In: AGU Fall Meeting, 11-15 December 2015, New Orleans.

Gidden MByers E , Burek P,  Ebi K, Greve PHavlik P, Hillers A, Johnson N, et al. (2017). Exposure and Vulnerability to Energy, Water, and Land Hotspots under Different Climate Futures. In: 10th Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium Meeting, December 2017.

Palazzo A , Havlik P, & van Dijk M (2017). Future energy, food, and water trade-offs in the Zambezi river basin: A model analysis of Zambia. In: Global Food Security Conference, December 2017.

Byers E , Gidden MBurek P , Leclere DPalazzo A , Parkinson SRogelj J , Satoh Y, et al. (2017). Multi-sector climate impacts assessment for water, energy and land. In: Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project Meeting, 9-10 October 2017, Potsdam, Germany.

Palazzo A , Havlik PLeclere Dvan Dijk M, & Deppermann A (2017). Hotspots in land and water resource uses on the way toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. In: Impacts World Conference, 11-13 Octover 2017.

Kahil T , Parkinson SBurek P , Satoh YGreve PFischer GTramberend S , Langan S , et al. (2017). Economic costs of reducing unsustainable groundwater use: Application of IIASA global hydro-economic modeling framework. In: JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, 20-25 May 2017, Tokyo, Japan.

Burek P , Satoh YGreve PKahil T , & Wada Y  (2017). The CommunityWater Model (CWATM) / Development of a community driven global water model. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, 23–28 April 2017, Vienna, Austria.

Gidden MByers E , Greve PKahil T , Parkinson S, Raptis C, Rogelj J , Satoh Y, et al. (2017). Hydroclimatic risks and uncertainty in the global power sector. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, 23–28 April 2017, Vienna, Austria.

Greve PKahil T , Schinko T , Mochizuki J , Satoh YBurek P , Burtscher RLangan S , et al. (2017). Global assessment of water policy vulnerability under uncertainty in water scarcity projections. In: European Geosciences Union (EGU) General Assembly 2017, 23–28 April 2017, Vienna, Austria.

Kahil T  (2017). Hydro-economic classification and modeling framework. In: IIASA Institutional Evaluation 2017, 27 February-1 March 2017, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.